NFL Super Wild Card Weekend Preview

This Saturday and Sunday we get the first ever SIX GAME wild card weekend in the NFL. I'll give a small blurb and prediction for each of the six games and I'll dive you the lines and totals that you need to know about. At the end, I'll also throw in some of the bets that I like so you can tail me or fade me if you'd like to.

Colts at Bills (-6.5) Over/Under is 51.

The Bills have been playing some amazing football recently, and in short, I think they will continue to roll. Josh Allen is one of my favorite QBs out there right now, so I will be rooting for the Bills to win the AFC this year. I think Phil Rivers is a little bit worse than most people give him credit for, but Jonathan Taylor is pretty good. The Colts offensive line and Jonathan Taylor could be a problem for the Bills, but if the Bills can put a little bit of pressure on Rivers throughout the game, they should win fairly easily. If you can bet Rivers to throw a pick at around -150, I would certainly take that. My official prediction is that the Bills roll them and cover -6.5.

Rams at Seahawks (-3) Over/Under is 42.

The biggest story heading into this game is that Jared Goff is likely not going to play. He dislocated and broke his thumb on his throwing hand, and I don't think he will be starting. Both defenses in this game have been playing really well in recent weeks and I'd say that is why the total is set at a lower number like 42. I know a lot of people have said the Seahawks are overrated this year, but I disagree. I think there's some bias in my opinion because I do have a futures ticket on them to win the NFC. I'm a little confused as to why this line is only 3 points, but in week 16 when they faced off it was a low scoring affair with a 20-9 final. From what I've been hearing, people really like the Rams +3 regardless of the status on Goff, but I think I'll be laying the points with Seattle. I do think it will stay fairly low scoring and DK Metcalf will have a quiet game as he'll likely be covered by Jalen Ramsey.

Buccaneers at The Football Team (+8) Over/Under is 44.5.

This game shouldn't really be very close in my eyes. The Bucs have been playing pretty well in the past two or three weeks or so. I don't think that the travel or the cold will be much of a probably for Tom Brady, but maybe the rest of his team will come out slow if it is chilly in DC tomorrow night. Alex Smith looks like he'll continue starting this week, which makes sense to me. They just don't seem to have much of an offense there in Washington. Terry McLaurin is a good weapon, but I don't think Smith is 100% yet, so it will be tough for him to find his number one receiver deep down field. Chase young could be an issue for Tom since Tom has never been much of a mobile QB. If Chase Young can play well and force Brady out of the pocket as often as possible, they may have a chance to keep it close here. All that, combined with the fact that Brady is 4-5 in games not at 1pm EST and 1-3 in the night games, I might take WFT +8 for this one, but I haven't decided yet.

My best bet for this Saturday in the NFL is the Seahawks -3

Ravens at Titans (+3) Over/Under is 55.

This game is interesting to me. A little bit of a revenge game for Baltimore trying to get back the loss in the playoffs from last year. I think the Titans are a bit worse than their record this year, and I think the Ravens are a bit better than their record this year. I think at one point, the Ravens thought that Lamar should be passing the ball more because that's what QBs do, and now they decided they don't care what QBs are supposed to do, they just want to run the ball down the other team's throat. With Jackson, Dobbins, Edwards and Ingram they can certainly do that. On the other side of the ball, the Titans are likely going to want to feed Derrick Henry as much as they can. Tannehill has been playing pretty solidly as of late, but I don't think that it will be good enough. I think it will be a shoot out, but 55 is a scary total to bet, so I will likely take Ravens -3 in this one.

Bears at Saints (-10) Over/Under is 47.

The Nickelodeon game! I told one of my friends this game was going to be broadcast on Nickelodeon and he laughed at me and thought I was lying. This game will certainly be on both CBS and Nickelodeon this weekend and I will 100% have the Nickelodeon broadcast on because that's awesome. Aside from the fact that there will be some slime, this game shouldn't be much fun to watch. I think the Saints will kill the Bears this week and it will never be close. I don't think this is a hot take, but the Saints are a lot better than the Bears. 10 points is certainly a lot, and I wouldn't be surprised if the Bears end up back door covering that with a touchdown or something late in the game. I normally don't like betting totals much because I don't have much of a gauge for the difference between a 14-7 game or a 28-21 game, but in this game I'm thinking about taking the Over at 47. I hate rooting for unders, and I think the Saints will score early and set the pace for the game going over.

Browns at Steelers (-6) Over/Under is 47.5

The headline going into this game is that the Browns head coach, Kevin Stefanski, will not be able to coach due to COVID. The line was at 4 or 4.5 before the news broke that Stefanski wouldn't be able to coach, it has since moved to 6. I think that a head coach, especially the potential Coach of the Year, is worth more than 2 points. We saw what happened to the Lions when they didn't have much of a coaching staff, and what happens to teams with garbage head coaches like the Texans. If this line doesn't move too much more, I will be all over the Steelers. I think they definitely win this game by more than one touchdown. Big Ben is an animal and I think he'll connect with Dionte Johnson for a TD or two on Sunday night.

My best bet for this Sunday in the NFL is the Steelers -6

That's all I have for this preview, on Monday evening I'll try to get out a recap so I can see how terribly wrong I was about all of these games. See ya then